When I consider this scenario, it all makes a sick kind of sense. My hypothesis certainly answers any questions I might have for the reasons behind Bush's behavior and unfortunately isn't contradicted by any event of which I am aware. Honestly, I hope that I have guessed wrongly.So do I.
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I don't know the name of the author, but I've found a link to the article, "What Drives Bush," at link
note: comment edited to add hyperlink